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Home Archive Feb. 2009 Issue

News

Closing the Gap Between Energy and National Security

For many, putting the words ‘military’ and ‘energy’ in the same sentence is an anathema.  Yet the US Department of Defense and its Operational Energy Strategy is charting a course to make the armed forces more effective with ‘more fight with less fuel.’ NATO as an alliance should consider a similar path.  Reducing the Alliance’s fuel vulnerabilities by transitioning to alternative fuels not only reduces the strategic vulnerability associated with dependence on oil in military operations and transport but in an age of fiscal austerity it simply makes sense.  At the same time, government itself must do its part and avoid shooting itself in the foot by entering into energy relationships that reduce a nation’s own energy diversity.  Closing the gap between energy and national security may not be easy but it can be done.

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A Strategic Shift in Saudi Oil Policy?

A Strategic Shift in Saudi Oil Policy?

For decades, Saudi Arabia played OPEC’s gate-keeper opening and closing its oil tap to keep oil 'reasonably' priced.  There were reasons for this: the threat from Iraq, the need to placate the United States as its biggest customer, and its ability to provide a  reasonable standard of living for a moderately sized population.  Today, Saddam Hussein is history, China has displaced the United States and the population of Saudi Arabia has nearly tripled since 1980.  Contributors Steve Yetiv and Lowell Feld postulate that we are in the midst of a paradigm shift in global oil with a transformation of the Saudis from oil ‘doves’ to ‘hawks.’ 

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Post Mortem on Germany's Nuclear Melt-Down

Germany's Chancellor Angela Merkel's Spring assault on the country's nuclear power industry, if enacted, will reverberate through the German economy and society for decades to come.  'Germans for Germany' seems an apt phrase to describe such precipitous action with little thought given to the decision's impact on European energy security, German energy security, and on German foreign policy.  In fact, Merkel's plan to provide 'flexible power' alternatives to integrate non-existent wind and solar power into the German grid limits the country's options for safe and reliable base load electricity to either coal or natural gas and we know where Germany's gas comes from.          

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America Falling Behind: The Strategic Dimensions of Chinese Commercial Nuclear Energy

America Falling Behind: The Strategic Dimensions of Chinese Commercial Nuclear Energy

The United States has long prided itself on its strong culture of innovation and technological advancement.  However in the field of nuclear energy it is  losing, if it has not already lost its leadership position.  Contributor Scott Cullinane points out that, "today 40% of the enriched uranium US power plants use is processed overseas and imported" from elsewhere. At the same time China is adding to its nuclear fleet, pioneering the new stage of nuclear technological development through its national strategy of 'indigenous innovation' with the resulting ability to export cutting edge nuclear technologies to the highest bidder.  The strategic implications of these developments on US national security and foreign policy are immense.

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China and Recent Military Showdowns in the South China Sea

China's global thirst for energy resources to feed its economic expansion and increasingly prosperous citizenry is beginning to impinge on areas of geographic, and resource interest, to its Asian neighbors.  The South China Sea is one area of contention that has caused a flare-up in relations between China, Vietnam, and the Philippines in recent months.  Hooman Peimani at the prestigious National University of Singapore explores the roots of these regional disagreements and helps explain Chinese growing assertiveness in its foreign policy behavior and how we may be seeing more muscle flexing particularly where it believes it has a distinct upper-hand.   

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The Empire Strikes Back: European Energy and the Return of Gazprom

Gazprom, like its Russian state owners, has pursued an effective, long term strategy of ingratiating and integrating its interests with those of its downstream customers.  It may have struck a coup though in moving closer to RWE Germany's second largest electricity producer.  The field of maneuver for a Gazprom ownership stake in RWE has been made perceptively easier with the Merkel government's decision to discontinue nuclear power as an entire class of power generating technology available to German industrial and residential consumers.  As a partial result of this decision, RWE has lost a reported 20% of its market value and is eager for the new investment that Gazprom can provide.  Vertically integrating Gazprom as a key player in Europe's largest industrial economy is really what is at stake in the short term.  Integrating Russian influence as a base-load factor in Germany's future is of longer term concern. 

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The Geoeconomic and Geopolitical Implications of Unconventional Gas in Europe

The unconventional gas revolution has had its biggest impact on US gas markets but it would be erroneous to think the cascading impacts of this technology-lead sea-change in gas stop at America's shores.  Unconventional gas, shale gas, has helped create a global gas glut and in doing so is depriving  Russia of the leverage it exacts from European governments dependent on its natural gas. The idea of replacing an imported good with a domestic one may sound simplistic, but the overall political and economic implications of this new resource are global in scope.

   
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